The most important match of Friday night. Arsenal hold a five-point lead over Manchester City — a single Arsenal win in their remaining fixtures against Burnley and Crystal Palace mathematically secures the title. A slip, even a draw, keeps City alive.

Aston Villa (69% win probability) are fighting for a Champions League place. Liverpool arrive as a side that has dramatically underperformed their title-winning campaign last season — Arne Slot's men have suffered 15 defeats this season, their most in over a decade. Mohamed Salah remains a fitness doubt after leaving the Crystal Palace match with a hamstring issue. Villa Park under the lights for a top-four clash is one of English football's great atmospheres.

Les Verts at the iconic Stade Geoffroy-Guichard — known as the Chaudron — for one of the final home games of their Ligue 1 season. Saint-Étienne's return to the top flight after years away has been a challenging campaign, and Rodez arrive as a manageable late-season opponent.

The O2.5 signal of 66.7% and BTTS of 61.1% reflect the expectation of an open, attacking match where both sides contribute offensively.

Beşiktaş travel to the Black Sea coast as clear favourites (63%) against a Rizespor side in the middle of the table. The Eagles will want to keep winning to apply pressure in the European qualification race.

The O2.5 signal of 55.6% reflects the expectation of goals from a Beşiktaş side with the quality to impose themselves, though the compact Çaykur Didi Stadyumu can make life difficult for visiting teams.